Request for comments: What do you think is the likelihood of a major collapse? What can be done to make it less likely/severe? How to know if when bottom is reached?
I think its already there. The corona lockdown was the opening ceremony for it. The war in ukraine is the second phase.The third phase probably will be a regular lack of goods.
Historically, ‘civilisation’ = people moving from rural areas to city. ‘collapse of civilisation’ = people abandoning cities and moving back to rural areas. That is all.
In this case the overwhelming majority of people are very dependent on centralized setups for production, safety and other things. And rural areas prolly lack capacity for most of them
Maybe I am overthinking this, but it seems to me like either the elites get the totalitarian control they want, or there will be lots and lots of armed conflicts all over the place.