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130d

For people under 40, a death rate is 0.02% - for every 10 THOUSAND infected, 2 die.
x2dm
replied 130d
These numbers are actually significantly inflated. In reality, COVID-19 is probably even less dangerous than these numbers imply. There are two main reasons for this inflation:
x2dm
replied 130d
1.This is the Case Fatality Rate (CFR), the mortality among patients who were positively diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2. However, many who catch the virus are asymptomatic and never tested.
x2dm
replied 130d
Current estimates are that the number of actual infections is 2-8 times higher than the num of confirmed cases. Therefore, the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) is much lower than the CFR.
x2dm
replied 130d
2. CFR is highly dependent on the quality of medical care. With good supportive medical care, mortality is much lower. Unfortunately, most of the current cases are in Wuhan,
x2dm
replied 130d
where the medical establishment is currently overwhelmed, and the quality of care is low. This skews the statistics. In other places, even in other parts of China, the CFR is lower.
x2dm
replied 130d
Overall, SARS-CoV-2 is likely to have a true mortality rate not much higher than most seasonal flu strains, meaning that the panic around it is mostly unjustified.
replied 129d
Interesting info.. thanks!
replied 130d
1.3% is still OK for me.
Unusual Uther
replied 130d
Thank you for the information Maria.
replied 130d
You're welcome