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2192d
"BTC can't scale because Moore's Law is dead"

https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/cynql1/moores_law_graphed_vs_real_cpus_gpus_1965_2019_oc/

...blatant bullshit from BTC Core yet again.
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Moore is dead
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Lmao, for fucks sake is Moore's Law dead or not? No one seems to agree anywhere. The only thing i know is that quantum mechanics is gonna fuck up any more transistor density very soon.
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Moore's Law should work under "normal circumstances" but ...
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what if the world population & economy is shrinking? birth control, miscarriages, abortions + diseases, major man-made or natural disasters killing millions of people, etc?
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Or there's stagnation in the industry due to rare earth metal rarity/competition, monopolies, rampant flaws/exploits in chip design, incremental releases/planned obsolescence...
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but if that's the case, we don't need to process 2000 transactions per second
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The graphic I linked shows that it's actually been pretty accurate so far, or at least way more than I thought. I agree the market's too restrictive to allow proper growth though
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I think he's saying that Moore the person is dead lol. Quantum mechanics will fuck up everything, people using them will basically be wizards compared to average consumers
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Yeah, but conventionally computers will cease to become smaller once the transistor size becomes small enough that electrons can "hop" between transistors and ruin everything.
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Yeah they'll probably have to invent new measures of computing power. I'm not sure that conventional computers will die out immediately though, it'll probably take time to transition
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I think if no quantum computers are ever made to replace what we have, computing as we know it will either stagnate or have to scale back upwards in size.
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Computing has already stagnated considerably because of planned obsolescence, incremental upgrades and monopolies. I'm definitely not saying that quantum won't become mainstream though
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I just think the cost is going to be extremely prohibitive for the average user at first. Probably at least like 10-15 years before they're affordable for home computing at this rate
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Probably much longer imo. We still can't run "hot" quantum. The only QC that we currently have that sort of work require near absolute zero operating temperatures and fall apart easily
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The qbits even under these conditions destabilize too easily to perform any major real computing.


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